Archiv für den Tag 9. November 2011

Iran Snap Analysis: The IAEA Nuclear Report — Serious, But Not That Serious….

In advance of our analysis in the morning, a snapshot of the some of the framing and intepretation of the IAEA report on Iran’s nuclear programme….

Our take-away line at this point: „The report is more serious for Iran than previous IAEA findings but not as serious as Western officials were spinning it.“ Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Iran Opinion: It’s Not Nukes, It’s Not The Plot….It’s Human Rights (Morgan/Apostolou)

Sarah Morgan and Andrew Apostolou write for Foreign Affairs:

Since the Iranian Revolution of 1979, the United States has vacillated between engagement and confrontation with the Islamic Republic, with sanctions filling the gap. As Iran has moved closer to achieving its nuclear ambitions in recent years, tensions are rising once again. The latest round of U.S. sanctions, signed into law in 2010, has hurt the Iranian government by restricting finance for oil refineries and discouraging foreign companies from conducting business with it. Yet sanctions have not delayed Iran’s nuclear drive, foiled its support for terrorism abroad, or kept it from meddling in its neighbors’ affairs. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Iran Special Analysis (Part 1): The Nuclear Report — „May“ Is Not „Definitely“

Let’s start with the „smoking gun“ statement from the IAEA that does not exactly smoke:

Prior to the end of 2003….activities [which may be related to a militarised nuclear effort] took place under a structured programme. There are also indications that some activities relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device continued after 2003, and that some may still be ongoing.  Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Iran Analysis: The IAEA Nuclear Report — Everyone’s a Winner!

It is one accomplishment to achieve alarm in the presentation of „facts“. It is quite another to be alarming on more than foront. If you’re a citizen of Israel, reading the International Atomic Energy Agency report on the Iranian nuclear programme,  you may feel that the existence of your country and could be in mortal danger. But if you’re afraid of World War III and think this document does not provide enough evidence to suggest that Iran is making nuclear weapons, then you’re right, too. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

The Latest from Iran (9 November): Nuclear Sideshow and Political Main Event

2100 GMT: At the Movies. Reza Allamehzadeh has directed a new film, „The Iranian Taboo„, about persecution of members of the Baha’i faith.

1730 GMT: Nuke Watch. Weakest reporting today on the IAEA report on Iran’s nuclear programme?

Well, The New York Times tries hard to claim the award. The headline is straightforward, „Iran Escalates Anti-U.S. Rhetoric Over Nuclear Report“, but theTimes slaps on a psychological evaluation that „Iran’s leaders [are] clearly worried that the long-awaited report, released Tuesday by the International Atomic Energy Agency, could sway world opinion and deepen Iran’s isolation“. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Iran Snap Analysis: The IAEA Nuclear Report — Serious, But Not That Serious….

In advance of our analysis in the morning, a snapshot of the some of the framing and intepretation of the IAEA report on Iran’s nuclear programme….

Our take-away line at this point: „The report is more serious for Iran than previous IAEA findings but not as serious as Western officials were spinning it.“ Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Iran: List of IAEA-Background Informations

IAEA Reports

2011

Iran News Round Up (Nov. 9)

Summary
IRGC political chief says Israel unable to attack Iran; IRGC’s air and space commander warns of retaliation against Americans in Afghanistan, Iraq if Guards commanders assassinated; senior lawmaker says Iran to level Israel off if attacked; Ahmadinejad says US playing with credibility of IAEA; inflation in Iran reportedly reaches 19.1% Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Radio Zamaneh Video of Shirin Ebadi lecture @ University of Amsterdam, 7 Nov. 2011

Radio Zamaneh Video of Shirin Ebadi lecture @ University of Amsterdam, 7 Nov. 2011


(in Persian)


More than 150 people attended this event. „Arab Spring and Iran“ was the theme of her lecture which was presented in Persian with simultaneous audio translation in English.
I seems Radio Zamaneh is the only media which has posted highlights of Ms. Ebadi’s lecture as a video file (16:00 min.)

The video has been spreed through the popular Persian social networks such as BALATARINIranian.comGOOYA News and also facebook.


Various Dutch newspapers also have covered the event. TROUW article was the most detailed one:

Eye on Iran: U.N. Agency Says Iran Data Points to A-Bomb Work

Top Stories

NYT: „United Nations weapons inspectors have amassed a trove of new evidence that they say makes a ‚credible‘ case that ‚Iran has carried out activities relevant to the development of a nuclear device,‘ and that the project may still be under way. The long-awaited report, released by the International Atomic Energy Agency on Tuesday, represents the strongest judgment the agency has issued in its decade-long struggle to pierce the secrecy surrounding the Iranian program. The findings, drawn from evidence of far greater scope and depth than the agency has previously made public, have already rekindled a debate among the Western allies and Israel about whether increased diplomatic pressure, sanctions, sabotage or military action could stop Iran’s program. Knowing that their findings would be compared with the flawed Iraq intelligence that preceded the 2003 invasion – and has complicated American moves on Iran – the inspectors devoted a section of the report to ‚credibility of information.‘ The information was from more than 10 countries and from independent sources, they said; some was backed up by interviews with foreigners who had helped Iran. The report laid out the case that Iran had moved far beyond the blackboard to create computer models of nuclear explosions in 2008 and 2009 and conducted experiments on nuclear triggers. It said the simulations focused on how shock waves from conventional explosives could compress the spherical fuel at the core of a nuclear device, which starts the chain reaction that ends in nuclear explosion. The report also said Iran went beyond such theoretical studies to build a large containment vessel at its Parchin military base, starting in 2000, for testing the feasibility of such explosive compression. It called such tests ’strong indicators of possible weapon development.'“ http://t.uani.com/tF8J4O  Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

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