Archiv für den Tag 27. Januar 2012

Iranian Nuclear Breakout in 2012: AEI Critical Threats Quick Take by Maseh Zarif

Iran is at the threshold of a nuclear weapons capability. Sanctions, direct action, and diplomatic tools have neither changed Iran’s nuclear policy nor had a visible effect on the enrichment program, including the growing stockpile of 19.75% low-enriched uranium (LEU).

AEI’s Critical Threats Project has produced a capabilities assessment of the time required for Iran to acquire enough weapons-grade uranium to fuel one nuclear weapon if it proceeds to break out in 2012. In a worst case scenario, Iran could acquire enough weapons-grade uranium for a weapon within a period of a month to just over two months at its primary enrichment facility at Natanz. In the more likely breakout scenario, Iran will amass enough 19.75% LEU by this summer at its Fordow and Natanz pilot enrichment facilities to be within two and a half months of producing weapons-grade uranium for one 15 kiloton bomb under certain contested technical assumptions.

The assessment also provides estimates for the forthcoming International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report, scenarios for the growth of Iran’s 19.75% LEU stockpile, background data on processes involved in a nuclear weapons program and Iran’s reported progress, and imagery of the primary enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordow.

The Critical Threats Project’s Iran Team Lead Maseh Zarif will provide updates of the assessment based on new information from International Atomic Energy Agency reports and other sources and on feedback from readers.


Iran: New Assault on Freedom of Information – Journalists, Bloggers Arrested ahead of Elections

Iranian authorities should immediately charge or release at least 10 journalists and bloggers arrested since the beginning of 2012, Human Rights Watch said today. The arrests appear to be part of the government’s most recent campaign to disrupt the free flow of information ahead of parliamentary elections scheduled for March 2.

On January 19, security forces stormed the home of Shahram Manouchehri, a journalist, searched and confiscated his belongings, and transferred him to an unknown location. On January 17, security forces stormed the homes of two journalists, Marzieh Rasouli and Sahamoddin Bouraghani, in Tehran and arrested them. On January 15, agents arrested Parastou Dokouhaki, a journalist, blogger, and women’s rights activist. At least six other journalists and bloggers have also been arrested and detained since the beginning of the year. All have been associated with reformist papers or websites critical of government policies. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Syria Video Special: Free Syrian Army Captures „Iranian Soldiers“

UPDATE 27 JANUARY, 0727 GMT: An EA correspondent makes a vital connection, linking the Thursday video of five „Iranian soldiers“ captured in Syria with the case of five Iranian „engineers“ reportedly kidnapped in Syria in December. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Die Verfolgung der Bahá’í im Iran

Behörden entziehen Bahá’í in Kerman ihre Geschäftslizenzen

Die systematische Strategie der iranischen Regierung, die Bahá’í in den wirtschaftlichen Ruin zu treiben, lässt nicht nach. Nach Angaben der Internationalen Bahá’í-Gemeinde begannen die Behörden in der Stadt Kerman im Süden des Iran eine neue Kampagne. Die Behörden weigern sich, Geschäftslizenzen zu verlängern. Auch werden Lizenzen eingezogen, erklärte Bani Dugal, Sprecherin der Internationalen Bahá’í-Gemeinde bei den Vereinten Nationen in New York.

Behörden in der Stadt Kerman im Süden des Iran begannen mit einer neuen Kampagne gegen die Bahá’í. Sie weigern sich, Geschäftslizenzen zu verlängern. Auch werden Lizenzen eingezogen. Damit soll die Entwicklung der Bahá’í-Gemeinde blockiert werden, wie es in einem Regierungsmemorandum heißt. Die Bahá’í treibt es in den wirtschaftlichen Ruin. Grafik: BWNS Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

In Case You Missed It: „How Fiat and Jennifer Lopez are indirectly enabling the Iranian regime“

How Fiat and Jennifer Lopez are indirectly enabling the Iranian regime

By Mark Wallace

The Daily Caller

Earlier this month, United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) sent a letter to Jennifer Lopez, the well-known actress, singer and judge for „American Idol,“ asking her to renounce her ties to the Italian automaker Fiat. Most Americans have seen Ms. Lopez’s Fiat commercials, which she filmed as part of a multimillion-dollar deal that also includes product placement during her performances.

The reasoning behind our campaign is simple: Ms. Lopez is the most prominent spokesperson for Fiat, and Fiat – through its business in Iran – is undermining U.S. national security and human rights. Fiat maintains an active business presence in Iran, and through its subsidiary Iveco has sold vehicles to the Iranian regime which have been used to transport ballistic missiles and stage gruesome public executions. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Iran News Round Up (Jan. 26)

Iran’s envoy to Kuwait disqualified from upcoming polls; Iran’s parliament mulling immediate ban on oil exports to E.U.; Pakistan signs gas contract to import natural gas from Iran despite sanctions; Iran’s trade with China grows by 55% in 2011

RFE/RL Iran Report

Head of Iran's Guardians Council Now The Principal Butt Of JokesHead of Iran’s Guardians Council Now The Principal Butt Of Jokes 
„Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, the head of the powerful Guardians Council, is Iran’s oldest man. No one knows when he was born. He is said to have been on planet Earth before all of us, even before Adam and Eve…“ That’s the gist of numerous jokes that are making the rounds about the senior cleric who is in his mid- eighties. More 

'Plot To Kill' Israel Envoy Foiled‚Plot To Kill‘ Israel Envoy Foiled 
Three Azerbaijani citizens have been arrested in connection with a plot to kill Israeli Ambassador Michael Lotem and a teacher and a rabbi at the Chabad Jewish school in Baku. More 

VOA: Ahmadinejad – Iran Does Not Oppose Nuclear Talks with West

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (file photo)

Photo: AP
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (file photo)

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says his government does not oppose negotiating with Western powers about its nuclear program but also wants them to change what he calls their „foul“ behavior toward Iran.

Speaking Thursday on a visit to the southern province of Kerman, Ahmadinejad accused the West of creating obstacles to negotiations. Iran and six world powers held their last round of nuclear talks one year ago and have been unable to agree on terms to renew them.  Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

Ebadi Calls for a Campaign to Release Opposition Leaders

Calls for Release Mount on the Anniversary of House Arrest of Mousavi, Karroubi, and Rahnavard

(26 January 2012) Shirin Ebadi, the 2003 Nobel Peace Laureate, today called for a sustained international campaign for the release of three opposition leaders under house arrest for nearly a year.

“I support the call [of political prisoners] and invite all freedom-loving people across the globe to do all they can for the release of prisoners of conscience in Iran, particularly Ms. Zahra Rahnavard, Mr. Mir Hossein Mousavi, and Mr. Mehdi Karroubi,” Ebadi said in her statement released today. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags

New York Times: Pattern of Intimidation Is Seen in Arrests of Iranian Journalists and Bloggers


January 25, 2012

The judicial authorities in Iran have arrested at least half a dozen journalists and bloggers over the past few weeks, according to their acquaintances, opposition Web sites and rights groups. The moves appear to be part of a pre-emptive campaign of intimidation to thwart protests surrounding the parliamentary elections that are scheduled to be held in early March.

The arrests of the journalists and bloggers, including two prominent women whose blog posts are widely read in Iran, have not been reported by the official news media. Rights groups and people who know the detained journalists said the government apparently wanted word of the arrests to spread informally, to heighten the atmosphere of fear and paranoia. Lies den Rest dieses Beitrags
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